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MH370
I'm sure you must have heard by now, but an aircraft, its crew and passengers are missing and are nowhere to be found.
I hope everyone can take a minute to think about the fate of the occupants and bless them.
I am currently covering the story in a small WhatsApp news group, so for those interested I'll post some updates here as well.
Malaysia Airlines flight 370 disappeared from the radar at 01:22 local time March 8th above the Gulf of Thailand. The Boeing 777-200ER was piloted by an experienced captain (53, 18,365 hours total) and a first officer (27, 2,763 hours total). The aircraft carried 154 Chinese citizens, 38 Malaysians, 7 Indonesians, 6 Australians, 5 Indian, 4 French, 3 citizens of USA, 2 New Zealanders, 2 Ukrainians, 2 Canadians, 1 Russian, 1 Italian, 1 Dutch and 1 Austrian.
The latest updates state that the aircraft is not confirmed to have crashed. A satellite report revealed the aircraft might have flown for up to seven hours after it disappeared from the radar. This would theoretically make it possible to reach Australia, Madagascar, Eastern Africa and a large portion of Asia. It would seem like the aircraft turned to the southwest after it disappeared, but a possibility that it turned northwest is not ruled out as of yet. Due to the way in which communication was shut of it is near certain this was done on purpose, by someone who has more knowledge then the average pilot.
Basically this is all that is known....
A lot of debating occurs in our aviation news group and my theory is as follows:
Due to the fact that the aircraft deviated from its path drastically the aircraft must have fallen into benign control: aka hijacked and since they did not plunge the aircraft down into the ocean or Kuala Lumpur/Bangkok/Singapore they probably didn't destroy the aircraft. Also since they took the time to attain the knowledge how to turn of the communication, they intended to fly it somewhere. Where I don't know but it has to be a godforsaken place for them to remain unnoticed. Since they knew the communication equipment, I also dare and bet they knew how far they could go with the fuel on board. This in my opinion rules out a scenario where the aircraft ran out of fuel half way through to their desired destination (as happened with Ethiopian 961).
Therefore I would think the aircraft has landed somewhere in Eastern Africa or Madagascar, as there are little communication opportunities (don't think a Somali could WhatsApp and let everyone know in a blink of an eye)...
Mind this is my speculation! Could be very wrong on many points!
Kind regards and may the Force be with all aboard!!!
Aviator
ps if anyone has questions, suggestions or comments please feel free to reply or send me a pm
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Interesting a jet can go missing, but I would not have thought it would have made it past India, Pakistan or China, with their military radar coverage, but ppl could probably find out enough from open source info to plot a likely safe course. Australia has OTH (over the horizon) radar coverage of basically its entire NW approach's for air traffic, so unless it wasn't working it didn't come here.
The jet's FMS should have told them the range available with the fuel loaded AFAIK, so if they knew how and to turn off the transponder and ACARS, and operate the autopilot to avoid civil primary radar, then they probably also knew how to use the nav system. I think there are military ships doing anti-piracy at the northern end of the African east coast, and so if they didn't see anything then I hope some agency's out there are looking at lots of satellite pictures for it!!!
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- Whyte Horse
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Few are those who see with their own eyes and feel with their own hearts.
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Adder wrote: I seriously thought they would have found it by now. There were too many unusual things to think it was a crash, such as no mayday call. At that point it could have been a single catastrophic explosion but I read sources in the US said their spy satellites did not detect any explosions in that area at that time. Then the subsequent/eventual release of information about the ACARS and military radar track and it makes the most sense to me it was hijacked.... at the moment.
Interesting a jet can go missing, but I would not have thought it would have made it past India, Pakistan or China, with their military radar coverage, but ppl could probably find out enough from open source info to plot a likely safe course. Australia has OTH (over the horizon) radar coverage of basically its entire NW approach's for air traffic, so unless it wasn't working it didn't come here.
The jet's FMS should have told them the range available with the fuel loaded AFAIK, so if they knew how and to turn off the transponder and ACARS, and operate the autopilot to avoid civil primary radar, then they probably also knew how to use the nav system. I think there are military ships doing anti-piracy at the northern end of the African east coast, and so if they didn't see anything then I hope some agency's out there are looking at lots of satellite pictures for it!!!
Well personally I think Madagascar might be a good option to hide the aircraft... Shown in this map is the range with 7 hours flying for the aircraft. This is more accurate Eastbound then West due to tradewinds.
It could have easily made it and the only primary radar centers to my knowing are near Antananarivo.... Plenty of place to land and hide... And it would avoid Somali anti-pirate missions
Map
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- 0041: Malaysia Airlines Flight MH370 departs from Kuala Lumpur International Airport and is due to land in Beijing at 0630 the same day. On board the Boeing (BA.N) 777-200ER are 227 passengers and 12 crew.
- 0107: After take-off and ascent, the plane sends its last ACARS transmission, which gives engine maintenance data to the ground. The system is later deactivated.
- 0119: Someone in the cockpit says "All right, good night" to Malaysian air traffic control. They were the last words heard from Flight MH370.
- 0121: The plane drops off air traffic control screens as its transponder - which responds to civilian radar - is switched off. The Civil Aviation Authority of Vietnam says the plane failed to check in as scheduled at 0121 with air traffic control in Ho Chi Minh City. Malaysian authorities believe that someone on board shut off the plane's communications systems and turned it sharply to the west.
- 0215: Malaysian military radar plots Flight MH370 at a point south of Phuket island in the Strait of Malacca, hundreds of miles west of its last known location.
- 0811: The last signal received from the plane, according to satellite tracking data. The final communication placed the plane somewhere in one of two corridors: a northern arc stretching from northern Thailand to Kazakhstan, or a southern one stretching from Indonesia to the vast southern Indian Ocean.
source
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http://www.cabaltimes.com/2014/03/12/ma370-redirected-to-diego-garcia/
http://beforeitsnews.com/conspiracy-theories/2014/03/malaysia-370-approached-diego-garcia-do-new-eyewitness-reports-from-maldives-island-residents-confirm-viral-conspiracy-theory-2460810.html
http://www.eutimes.net/2014/03/malaysia-airlines-mystery-deepens-after-top-disease-experts-rushed-to-indian-ocean/
http://www.eutimes.net/2014/03/russia-puzzled-over-malaysia-airlines-capture-by-us-navy/
I know several people that have been stationed at Diego Garcia, and they all say that it could have landed, been repainted, and flown back out with only a handful of people even knowing it was there.
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Yup, heard it as well. Problem is a 24 meter section of the aircraft should be very narrow (less then 10 meters), otherwise it is too big to be a single chunk of the plane...Adder wrote: Local authorities here are reporting something detected in the water, an Orion aircraft is on its way now to have a look.
Looked wider to me...
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Kaverael wrote: some interesting reading, take it as it is...
http://www.cabaltimes.com/2014/03/12/ma370-redirected-to-diego-garcia/
http://beforeitsnews.com/conspiracy-theories/2014/03/malaysia-370-approached-diego-garcia-do-new-eyewitness-reports-from-maldives-island-residents-confirm-viral-conspiracy-theory-2460810.html
http://www.eutimes.net/2014/03/malaysia-airlines-mystery-deepens-after-top-disease-experts-rushed-to-indian-ocean/
http://www.eutimes.net/2014/03/russia-puzzled-over-malaysia-airlines-capture-by-us-navy/
I know several people that have been stationed at Diego Garcia, and they all say that it could have landed, been repainted, and flown back out with only a handful of people even knowing it was there.
link to new scientist article on the allure of conspiracy theories
The article I've linked above provides some food for thought on conspiracy theories in general as well as in relation to this incident. If you can't be bothered reading it, the key quote is:
Psychologists suggest that part of the reason so many think this way (looking for conspiracy) is because we are all biased towards seeing ambiguous events as the product of someone's intentions rather than a mere accident.
This idea, that humans assign intention to random events, has something to inform us about theistic religions, too.
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I am relatively certain it is unrelated as the square in this image is 22x24 meters and can not be a single piece of the aircraft, especially if it impacted the ocean the chances of such a large piece of debris remaining intact are remote (only possiblity would be fuselage skin, but that chance is nearly impossible...)
Regards
Attachment h033b1dd.jpg not found
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